its ask and punjabi for me today

Punchestown 4.20

This could not be regarded as a G Hall 'key' race IMO. Columns scored, rated, valued and priced up to a theoretical overround of 115%:

Column headings are - cloth no, £class, ability, RPR, Formcast

2__X__0__X__0 Ebazyan 14/1
3__X__X__X__X Harchibald 11/4, CD could be thereabouts (3rd 16/1)
4__0__X__X__0 Kalderon 14/1
5__0__X__X__X Punjabi 11/4, CD ought to be thereabouts (Won 2/1)
6__0__X__0__0 Salford City 28/1
7__X__X__X__X Sublimity 6/5, strong scores indicate should be hard to beat (2nd 15/8F)

In comparison if I adjust the basic Patternform site columns plus course, distance and probable SP it come out like this:

2 40/1
3 7/2 Harchibald
4 13/1
5 5/4 Punjabi
6 7/1
7 11/4 Sublimity

This message has been edited. Last edited by: Jack,

thanks for that jack just think punjabi can improve and win this best performance lto back to c/d we will see

Well done Les.

2 from 2 les well done

prices poor but it gives me a free saturday,scotsirish would have been better oh well

Well done Les.

after the way it finnished in the scottish national IRIS DE BALME at 5/1 or 6/1 must be taken,i thought it was a 5f sprint the way it finnished its race

Les,

I imagine the double has guaranteed the weekend!

Well Done!

a question for anyone how much would iris de balme need to go up to make sure it gets in the big national

no jib its thanks to the people on here that my betting is not all over the place its a joy to read some of the posts past and present sometimes when i read things on the boards i think,i,m just playing at this but small steps and that

This message has been edited. Last edited by: les henderson,

jib i think you know what will guarantee my weekend

quote:

Originally posted by les henderson:
a question for anyone how much would iris de balme need to go up to make sure it gets in the big national

Les

The horse is already rated 144 after last weeks win which would comfortably get him into the Grand National. He runs today off his old handicap mark which makes him 27lb well in.
I agree he looks a penalty kick.

Isn't it a bit soon to have Iris de Balme out again?

looked as if it could have stopped for a pish and still have won

BlackCat

Hot Weld completed exactly the same double last year - also from out of the handicap.

Oldtimer

John
Reminds me of (27lb well in) Canny Danny in 1985 UWOF "Here he does not give significant actual wieght and in fact he has A 3LB PULL ON HANDICAP, I agree, say no more.
Tripod.

Sandown 3.20

Sandown, a galloping track where staying ability is required so getting the D could be the key today. Mentioning keys, this is a G Hall type 'key' race IMO. To save time I have priced it up via Daily Mail Formcast ratings to a theoretical overround of 137%:
Stars* (maximum of 4*)
1 12/1
2 2* 9/1
3 1* 10/1 3rd 9/1
4 3* 9/1 Monkerhostin, the old-stager could have an each-way chance. Hobbs/Johnson combo going well. WON 25/1
5 1* 10/1 Ungaro, may get the D for a place
6 10/1
7 10/1
8 3* 9/1 D'Argent, another old-stager with a chance. King/Thornton combo goin well.
9 10/1
10 10/1 Royal Auclair, may not be good enough at this stage of his career. 2nd 14/1
11 13/1
12 15/1
13 16/1
14 22/1
15 1* 33/1
16 28/1
17 25/1
18 200/1
19 4* 17/2 Iris De Balme, big chance at the weight if this contest is not too soon? 4th 9/2

I filtered them through the Patternform site factors too in comparison and this is my personal order of merit for what it is worth:
Rating
11 Iris De Balme
10 Royal Auclair
9 D'Argent
9 Ungaro
7 Monkerhostin

This message has been edited. Last edited by: Jack,

Oh, I know I said I'd keep a lower profile, but I just can't resist throwing in my twopenneth!! Just ignore me!!

My selections for today are:

355S Medicine Path. If what it does over the last two furlongs LTO provides the answers, the MP will win!!

420P Franchoek. The c/f horse?

425L Harry the Hawk (and, although a tight price, a small cover bet on Harvest Joy @ 6/1). With the exception of HJ, I think HTH has a green light here.

Of the three, MP is the strongest.

Nice Jack.