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Originally posted by boozer:
Heres a bit of Voegles Horse Sense
The book is actualy By a bloke called Paul Major
A uk adaptation of Voegles professional method of winner selection



Let me give you an example from one season:
I noticed that, though Homefield had run second twice, being beaten only a neck in a handicap in his previous race, he was allowed to start 4-1 in a field of four for an apprentice race at Doncaster when carrying less than seven stone. He won by five lengths.
Homefield then ran third on a higher-grade track but, when he returned to a moderate race at a poor northern meeting, starting at 5"”2, he won by five lengths.
Now he goes for a good price at Ayr. It's a fair field. But this consistent animal gets weight all round. Eight runners. A perfect each-way bet at, guess what, 14"”1. He won by five lengths.

Surely the public knew that, whatever their prejudice, they were losing money opposing Homefield.
Yet dropped to a £500 race at Catterick, Homefield was permitted to step down to the start a 5"”2 shot. He won by two-and-a-half lengths.
Where were all those punters?
Surely now the Homefield run must come to an end? Well, it looked that way when his trainer aimed sky high at the Good-wood Stakes next time out. Sure enough, though Homefield led for a long way (as he liked to do), he had no answer to Pamroy's final-furlong challenge. He finished a respectable fourth.
That was it then I The punters knew a good honest handicapper when they saw one, didn't they? Beaten in a big race, but not disgraced, after a fine display of consistency... Homefield had made it hadn't he? He'd neverbe allowed to start at value odds again in a handicap in the North.
Oh! Wouldn't he! Oh! British Punters, where were you?
You had it all there in the formbooks, all this information about the gallant Homefield, yet he went to Thirsk, in his very next race after Goodwood, with just 7st. 91b. to carry "” one of the bottomweights on a low-grade track "” and you let him start at 6"”1.
Homefield didn't just win. He made all the running. Every yard of it. So he deserved to. . . on form. I made him 7"”4 in my own betting forecast. And I made the other punters pay for their error. . . for they paid me through the bookmakers!
Remember! You can't beat the bookmaker. But you can beat the other punters. Many, many times.
By now you've digested some important principles of my method of winning money from betting. We are almost ready to go into detail.
But I must stress the other lesson to be learned from the Homefield story. Read your form books. Read the facts. Read between the lines. Translate them to fit the approach of the new, improved you, the new'professional approach which is gradually taking over from the gambler within you as you read this book.
It's hard work digging up form. One of your most successful bookmakers, William Hill, reckoned to spend six hours a day in form study.
The average punter in America has his Daily Racing Form chart for each race giving the exact placings of every horse at the quarter, half and threequarter distances as well as positions in the finishing stretch and at the fin ish~ To complete the picture, the distances between the runners at each stage are indicated, the winning time is given, and the performances of all the main contenders is put into close-up. All th'at for each horse's last eight races.
With information of this sort at his elbow, the American backer can come to fairly quick conclusions. It is relatively easy to spot the horses in form, out of form, the triers and the non-triers, the battlers and the cowards.

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The stat that jumps out at me is more winners were going up in distance than going down. I'm surprised about that.

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Originally posted by walter pigeon:

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The stat that jumps out at me is more winners were going up in distance than going down. I'm surprised about that.

BC are you reading it right or is it me, i take it he`s meaning that 1235 ran longer distance lto than today?.

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became apparent that prizemoney LTO was the better indicater.

We went on to do a full previous 5 years worth of Flat race form books with the LTO Race value written over the top of the first 6 in the betting forecast.

Tis a good excersise and an eyeopener
especially when you study the ones that are say 3 times or more the value of the others in the forecast.the ones that win the ones that lose