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Trojan

Brilliant thread this!!

Keep going like this and you'll certainly save your BACON.

Moon2
 
Posts: 554 | Registered: February 07, 2002Reply With QuoteEdit or Delete MessageReport This Post
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LOL - thanks Pimatic,

Difficult time to do this, with doubtful/abandoned meetings and desperate going.

Southwell 2.50 MOSCOW LEADER £50 e/w at 6/1 (Sporting Odds)

and £10 e/w OSCAR PERFORMANCE at 25/1 (VC and SJ)
23 days left Guns

(wot's happened to the graemlins?)

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Posts: 1669 | Registered: October 03, 2002Reply With QuoteEdit or Delete MessageReport This Post
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The prices I take are obviously not always the best available - plenty of firms offering 13/2 Moscow Leader. Frown

And of course...there's always Betfair
 
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I think I know where the graemlins have got to Frown

£120 loss today

Golf bag £1,517.50 + £517.50
 
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Nil desperandum....etc!
 
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I was so busy emptying the wine cellar last night Drunk2 that I had no idea that Taunton would be threatened - I mean, it's always been nice and mild in the South West.

So, a good few hours wasted Roll Eyes

22 days left Guns
 
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Still can't find a decent bet Frown

To keep the interest and thread alive, I'm having a small bet in the Leicester 3.15:

ABZUSON £10 e/w at 33/1 Scared
 
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Well Abzuson started at 40/1 and beat the 9/4 fav by more than 26 lengths Smile

But, there were still 5 horses that did better Frown £20 lost.

Golf bag now £1,497.50

Whilst not best on figures (that goes to KITTENKAT) I am going for a horse that loves the specialist course at Towcester in the 3.10.

FOLLOW THE FLOW £50 e/w at 6/1
 
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4.20 Southwell BYRON BAY £50 e/w at 9/2
 
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Not bad Trojan could have saved the win part of the bet a certain lay. But there again it could have won.
 
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Likewise Byron Bay - easy to say in hindsight
 
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FOLLOW THE FLOW 2nd - profit £7.00 (after 5p in £ EP deduction for a NR)

BYRON BAY won - profit £281.25 Smile

Today's profit £288.25

Golf Bag now up £785.75 (in 8 days) at £1,785.75 Thumb

(But there's no pleasing some folk Roll Eyes)

20 days left Guns
 
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Your doing fine Trojan,Just noticed you got the winner in the lucky last,Well done
 
Posts: 2960 | Registered: August 21, 2002Reply With QuoteEdit or Delete MessageReport This Post
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Thanks Rab,

Yet another day of abandonments and crap left-overs.

Gives me a chance to get on my soap box.

I started this thread in fun - yes, it may come to a shock to some of you, but the bailiffs are not really coming around. I wanted to put some urgency into meeting an unreasonably high target within an unreasonably short time scale.

To make £4,000 profit from £1,000 bank in 28 days is a tall order. However, with an odd bit of luck and a following tailwind, I believed it was possible. I'm not so sure now because of the abnormal lack of betting opportunities due to the high number of abandoned meetings. My selections depend on handicaps, and have been more successful in the races of Class "C" and above.(Also, I am making arrangements to go abroad for medical treatment, which may come sooner rather than later)

Apart from the fun side, I wanted to show that it is possible to do quite well using only the free RP website, and crude staking. These points are important to me.

When I first started betting, I used tipsters. I swopped from one to the other, chasing my tail and losing money.

I tried betting short-priced favs – you know the sort – non-handicap races, no more than 12 runners, won last time out, placed before that etc etc - but a high strike rate did not ensure profit because of the short prices.

I tried computer software, ratings and systems. Again, subscribing to different Ratings services, swopping between them – still didn't make a profit.

Ahhh my problem was my staking. I tried different staking methods – different mathematical progressions, spreadsheets, ladder, Colgate mathematical formula – all sorts. I still failed to make a profit. Now, before you staking buffs jump on me – I'm sure many (if not all) would have worked with my selections– but not for ME. When a losing run comes along and I get out of my comfort zone, I just cannot continue – I'm risking more than I feel comfortable with. This spreadsheet is telling me to put £X on this horse and I don't want to, I'm anxious, my blood pressure goes up, I start sweating, I'm uncomfortable and I'm not enjoying it. If I'm not enjoying it, I'm not doing it.

So, I'm not saying that other ratings are not useful – but just wanted to show that the free ones can be used perfectly adequately.

Likewise, I am positive that a different staking approach would enhance my profits to the nth degree. Looking back at results, something as simple as "win only" instead of "each way" would do for a start – but I don't care, I'm doing what I'm comfortable with. I'm betting these with my money and I'm quite happy with my profits as they are. I don't want to go outside my "comfort zone" again, I'd rather give up. I am in control, not some spreadsheet. Many of you will think I'm crazy – why not utilise profits as best as possible? Well, perhaps I AM crazy Crazy
 
Posts: 1669 | Registered: October 03, 2002Reply With QuoteEdit or Delete MessageReport This Post
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If it ain't broke don't try to fix it! As much as anything in this game it's having the confidence in your selection, method etc., realisation that investing, not gambling, is a long term project and having the discipline. Well that's the theory out of the way ........... Big Grin

Stick within your comfort zone...it appears to be working and good luck with any future treatment.
 
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Thanks Kingsley,

Crikey, reading back over my post - it comes across as a real grumpy rant - sorry Roll Eyes

All I wanted to say really was that I've spent £1000s over the years on tipsters, software and ratings. Ironically, my best results now come from the FREE RP website. (Oh, and if one of my selections is a certain lay, then please post BEFORE the race - this isn't a VDW thread Wink)

Let's get back to the fun......errrr nothing so far today Eek

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Lingfield 3.35

Very tight between SRI DIAMOND, REHEARSAL and POLYGONAL - so I shouldn't bet - should I?

However, my gut feeling (which is probably more to do with last nights Indian and generous withdrawals from the wine cellar, than the system) is for:

SRI DIAMOND £50 e/w at 6/1 (Sporting Odds)
 
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I do have Rehearsal and Poyganol as lays so hopefully we can get it right between us...or have I now cursed it!
 
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Well done old bean! Thank heavens the lays were good as this, up till now, has been a dismal day....ta!
 
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Nice 1 Trojan Big Grin
 
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